|
|
Party Preferences and Voting, 1999
Party Identification
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Nonpartisan |
2491 |
43.6 |
44.9 |
44.9 |
| Other |
116 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
47.0 |
| Labour |
1216 |
21.3 |
21.9 |
69.0 |
| National |
1433 |
25.1 |
25.9 |
94.8 |
| Alliance |
124 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
97.1 |
| NZ First |
75 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
98.4 |
| Act |
86 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5541 |
97.1 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
167 |
2.9 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Partisan Probe
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
No |
982 |
17.2 |
33.1 |
33.1 |
| Labour |
860 |
15.1 |
29.0 |
62.0 |
| National |
580 |
10.2 |
19.5 |
81.6 |
| Alliance |
212 |
3.7 |
7.1 |
88.7 |
| NZ First |
73 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
91.2 |
| Act |
87 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
94.1 |
| Other |
175 |
3.1 |
5.9 |
100.0 |
| Total |
2968 |
52.0 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
2740 |
48.0 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Strength of Party Identification
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
2 |
.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
| Very Strongly |
535 |
9.4 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
| Fairly
Strongly |
1874 |
32.8 |
34.6 |
44.6 |
| Not Very
Strongly |
1043 |
18.3 |
19.3 |
63.9 |
| 4.00 |
1955 |
34.3 |
36.1 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5409 |
94.8 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
299 |
5.2 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Which Vote is Most Important
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
2 |
.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
| Party Vote |
3190 |
55.9 |
57.0 |
57.0 |
| Equal |
1520 |
26.6 |
27.2 |
84.2 |
| Electorate |
527 |
9.2 |
9.4 |
93.6 |
| Dont Know |
357 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5596 |
98.0 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
112 |
2.0 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
1999 Party Vote
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Nonvote |
802 |
14.0 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
| Labour |
1837 |
32.2 |
33.2 |
47.7 |
| National |
1445 |
25.3 |
26.1 |
73.8 |
| Alliance |
369 |
6.5 |
6.7 |
80.5 |
| NZ First |
201 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
84.1 |
| Act |
334 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
90.2 |
| Other |
68 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
91.4 |
| Green |
241 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
95.7 |
| Christian H |
116 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
97.8 |
| United |
22 |
.4 |
.4 |
98.2 |
| ALCP |
49 |
.9 |
.9 |
99.1 |
| FNZ |
49 |
.9 |
.9 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5532 |
96.9 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
176 |
3.1 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
How Nonvoters Might Vote
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Nonvote |
338 |
5.9 |
30.0 |
30.0 |
| Labour |
362 |
6.3 |
32.2 |
62.2 |
| National |
191 |
3.3 |
16.9 |
79.1 |
| Alliance |
85 |
1.5 |
7.5 |
86.6 |
| NZ First |
28 |
.5 |
2.5 |
89.1 |
| Act |
46 |
.8 |
4.1 |
93.2 |
| Other |
65 |
1.1 |
5.7 |
99.0 |
| Green |
7 |
.1 |
.6 |
99.6 |
| Christian H |
4 |
.1 |
.4 |
100.0 |
| Total |
1126 |
19.7 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
4582 |
80.3 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
1999 Electorate Vote
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Nonvote |
740 |
13.0 |
13.4 |
13.4 |
| Labour |
2036 |
35.7 |
36.9 |
50.4 |
| National |
1509 |
26.4 |
27.4 |
77.7 |
| Alliance |
345 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
84.0 |
| NZ First |
196 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
87.5 |
| Act |
221 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
91.5 |
| Other |
104 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
93.4 |
| Green |
178 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
96.6 |
| Christian H |
85 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
98.2 |
| United |
53 |
.9 |
1.0 |
99.1 |
| ALCP |
9 |
.2 |
.2 |
99.3 |
| FNZ |
39 |
.7 |
.7 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5514 |
96.6 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
193 |
3.4 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
How Would Vote Under FPP
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Labour |
2351 |
41.2 |
45.9 |
45.9 |
| National |
1789 |
31.3 |
34.9 |
80.8 |
| Alliance |
298 |
5.2 |
5.8 |
86.6 |
| NZ First |
192 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
90.4 |
| Act |
173 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
93.8 |
| Other |
144 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
96.6 |
| Green |
120 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
98.9 |
| Christian H |
44 |
.8 |
.9 |
99.8 |
| Independent |
12 |
.2 |
.2 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5123 |
89.8 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
Nonvote |
374 |
6.5 |
|
|
| System |
211 |
3.7 |
|
|
| Total |
585 |
10.2 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
When Made Party Vote Decision
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Long Time |
1571 |
27.5 |
29.6 |
29.6 |
| Before
Campaign |
1107 |
19.4 |
20.8 |
50.4 |
| Before Last
Week |
1056 |
18.5 |
19.9 |
70.3 |
| Last Week |
705 |
12.3 |
13.3 |
83.6 |
| On the Day |
478 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
92.6 |
| Never Did |
237 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
97.0 |
| Dont Know |
158 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5311 |
93.1 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
396 |
6.9 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
When Made Electorate Vote Decision
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Long Time |
1268 |
22.2 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
| Before
Campaign |
1030 |
18.0 |
20.3 |
45.3 |
| Before Last
Week |
1039 |
18.2 |
20.5 |
65.7 |
| Last Week |
677 |
11.9 |
13.3 |
79.1 |
| On the Day |
617 |
10.8 |
12.2 |
91.2 |
| Never Did |
244 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
96.0 |
| Dont Know |
202 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5078 |
89.0 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
630 |
11.0 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Thought Might Vote Differently
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Yes |
1678 |
29.4 |
34.1 |
34.1 |
| No |
2553 |
44.7 |
51.9 |
86.0 |
| Thought
Nonvote |
499 |
8.7 |
10.1 |
96.1 |
| Dont Know |
191 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
100.0 |
| Total |
4921 |
86.2 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
787 |
13.8 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
MP Referendum Vote
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Nonvote |
728 |
12.7 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
| Reduce MPs |
3924 |
68.7 |
70.2 |
83.2 |
| Retain 120 |
940 |
16.5 |
16.8 |
100.0 |
| 3.00 |
1 |
.0 |
.0 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5593 |
98.0 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
115 |
2.0 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Crime Referendum Vote
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Nonvote |
594 |
10.4 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
| More
Penalties |
4006 |
70.2 |
81.2 |
93.3 |
| Same
Penalties |
331 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
100.0 |
| Total |
4931 |
86.4 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
776 |
13.6 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Party Most Wanted in Government
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
6 |
.1 |
.1 |
.1 |
| National |
2020 |
35.4 |
36.0 |
36.1 |
| Labour |
2936 |
51.4 |
52.3 |
88.3 |
| Neither |
290 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
93.5 |
| Both |
70 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
94.7 |
| Dont Know |
296 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5618 |
98.4 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
90 |
1.6 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Feelings about National Candidate
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
457 |
8.0 |
9.6 |
9.6 |
| 1.00 |
169 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
13.2 |
| 2.00 |
252 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
18.5 |
| 3.00 |
221 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
23.1 |
| 4.00 |
230 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
28.0 |
| 5.00 |
1412 |
24.7 |
29.7 |
57.7 |
| 6.00 |
269 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
63.4 |
| 7.00 |
345 |
6.0 |
7.3 |
70.6 |
| 8.00 |
294 |
5.2 |
6.2 |
76.8 |
| 9.00 |
124 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
79.4 |
| 10.00 |
167 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
82.9 |
| 99.00 |
810 |
14.2 |
17.1 |
100.0 |
| Total |
4750 |
83.2 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
958 |
16.8 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Feelings about Labour Candidate
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
137 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
| 1.00 |
77 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
4.4 |
| 2.00 |
168 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
7.9 |
| 3.00 |
189 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
11.8 |
| 4.00 |
216 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
16.3 |
| 5.00 |
1265 |
22.2 |
26.1 |
42.4 |
| 6.00 |
321 |
5.6 |
6.6 |
49.0 |
| 7.00 |
371 |
6.5 |
7.7 |
56.7 |
| 8.00 |
448 |
7.8 |
9.3 |
65.9 |
| 9.00 |
215 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
70.4 |
| 10.00 |
569 |
10.0 |
11.7 |
82.1 |
| 99.00 |
865 |
15.2 |
17.9 |
100.0 |
| Total |
4840 |
84.8 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
868 |
15.2 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Feelings about New Zealand First Candidate
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
446 |
7.8 |
9.5 |
9.5 |
| 1.00 |
199 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
13.8 |
| 2.00 |
213 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
18.4 |
| 3.00 |
220 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
23.1 |
| 4.00 |
171 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
26.7 |
| 5.00 |
1065 |
18.7 |
22.8 |
49.5 |
| 6.00 |
110 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
51.9 |
| 7.00 |
82 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
53.6 |
| 8.00 |
83 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
55.4 |
| 9.00 |
33 |
.6 |
.7 |
56.1 |
| 10.00 |
85 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
57.9 |
| 99.00 |
1968 |
34.5 |
42.1 |
100.0 |
| Total |
4675 |
81.9 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
1033 |
18.1 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Feelings about Alliance Candidate
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
193 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
| 1.00 |
130 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
6.9 |
| 2.00 |
138 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
9.8 |
| 3.00 |
175 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
13.6 |
| 4.00 |
140 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
16.6 |
| 5.00 |
1139 |
20.0 |
24.3 |
40.9 |
| 6.00 |
196 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
45.1 |
| 7.00 |
186 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
49.0 |
| 8.00 |
197 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
53.2 |
| 9.00 |
100 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
55.4 |
| 10.00 |
183 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
59.3 |
| 99.00 |
1906 |
33.4 |
40.7 |
100.0 |
| Total |
4683 |
82.0 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
1025 |
18.0 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Feelings about Act Candidate
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
512 |
9.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
| 1.00 |
192 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
15.2 |
| 2.00 |
202 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
19.6 |
| 3.00 |
149 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
22.8 |
| 4.00 |
143 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
25.9 |
| 5.00 |
1027 |
18.0 |
22.2 |
48.1 |
| 6.00 |
130 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
50.9 |
| 7.00 |
95 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
52.9 |
| 8.00 |
76 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
54.6 |
| 9.00 |
30 |
.5 |
.6 |
55.2 |
| 10.00 |
53 |
.9 |
1.1 |
56.3 |
| 99.00 |
2021 |
35.4 |
43.7 |
100.0 |
| Total |
4630 |
81.1 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
1078 |
18.9 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Feelings about Other Candidate
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
.00 |
145 |
2.5 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
| 1.00 |
34 |
.6 |
1.2 |
6.1 |
| 2.00 |
49 |
.9 |
1.7 |
7.8 |
| 3.00 |
35 |
.6 |
1.2 |
9.0 |
| 4.00 |
31 |
.5 |
1.1 |
10.1 |
| 5.00 |
545 |
9.5 |
18.7 |
28.8 |
| 6.00 |
60 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
30.9 |
| 7.00 |
71 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
33.3 |
| 8.00 |
69 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
35.7 |
| 9.00 |
58 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
37.7 |
| 10.00 |
120 |
2.1 |
4.1 |
41.8 |
| 13.00 |
1 |
.0 |
.0 |
41.8 |
| 99.00 |
1694 |
29.7 |
58.2 |
100.0 |
| Total |
2912 |
51.0 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
2795 |
49.0 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
Party's Candidate Most Liked
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
None |
1475 |
25.8 |
27.8 |
27.8 |
| Labour |
1711 |
30.0 |
32.3 |
60.1 |
| National |
1085 |
19.0 |
20.5 |
80.6 |
| NZ First |
181 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
84.0 |
| Alliance |
336 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
90.3 |
| Act |
189 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
93.9 |
| Other |
325 |
5.7 |
6.1 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5303 |
92.9 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
405 |
7.1 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
1996 Party Vote
|
Frequency |
Percent |
Valid Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
| Valid |
Nonvote |
746 |
13.1 |
13.7 |
13.7 |
| Labour |
1327 |
23.3 |
24.3 |
37.9 |
| National |
1906 |
33.4 |
34.9 |
72.8 |
| NZ First |
622 |
10.9 |
11.4 |
84.2 |
| Alliance |
332 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
90.3 |
| Act |
206 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
94.1 |
| Christian
Coalition |
171 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
97.2 |
| Other |
152 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
100.0 |
| Total |
5462 |
95.7 |
100.0 |
|
| Missing |
System |
246 |
4.3 |
|
|
| Total |
5708 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|